Peace How?
New Thinking for a New World - a Tallberg Foundation Podcast
02/29/24
•36m
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As Ukraine’s war enters its third year, it’s past time to dampen the rhetoric and tune up the reality. The war has shifted from failed Russian blitzkrieg, to valiant Ukrainian defense and then recovery, to unsuccessful Ukrainian counteroffensive, and now to war of attrition. But small countries—Ukraine’s effective population is only 1/5th of Russia’s and its economy only 1/10th the size of Russia’s—rarely win wars of attrition.
The conventional wisdom is that Western support can make up the difference. Wouldn’t a more realistic assessment be that such support—assuming it continues in ever greater magnitudes—can only prevent Ukraine from losing? Shouldn’t the expectation be that Russia, having overcome the bumbling and ineptitude of the first year of the war, is likely to push hard this spring at least to complete the seizure of Ukraine’s eastern oblasts? And then what?
Our guest on this week's New Thinking for a New World podcast has some clear ideas about the balance of forces, the risk of a Russian victory, and the contours of a potential negotiation that might lay the groundwork for renewed peace in Europe. George Beebe, director of the Grand Strategy Program at the Quincy Institute in Washington and a Russian expert, insists that such a negotiation requires continued US support for Ukraine. But he also insists that it's time for diplomacy.
Beebe and co-author Anatol Lieven recently published a must-read analysis entitled The Diplomatic Path to a Secure Ukraine and discussed his conclusions with host Alan Stoga.
What do you think? Should the United States push Ukraine towards negotiations?
Previous Episode
A Visionary Leader
February 22, 2024
•24m
Andrew Bastawrous solves problems. As a well-trained, highly skilled ophthalmologist he was devoted to treating as many patients as possible, in Kenya and elsewhere in Africa. But even gifted surgeons can only do so much, and Andrew came to realize that there were innumerable patients who never even made it to the queues outside his treatment centers.
So, Andrew stepped back and rethought how to do ophthalmology in practice. He found an answer by reimagining how eye care is delivered—literally a whole new supply chain—and leveraging technology. The result is that his Peek Vision software and data intelligence platform now help millions overcome vision impairment.
Listen (or watch) as Dr. Bastawrous, a winner of the Tällberg-SNF-Eliasson Global Leadership Prize for 2023, explains what it really means to think differently.
Next Episode
Worth Repeating: Can Violent Extremists Leave Their Pasts Behind?
March 7, 2024
•39m
Violent extremism is growing globally. It doesn't know religion or creed. Where once it was confined to specific ideology or identity groups, at least in public discourse and discussion, now it appears across societies, across cultures and across borders. Violent extremist ideologies and actions are becoming part of the global fabric.
Why do people get involved in this type of violence? How can they disengage? Can violent extremists be helped to reenter society integrated in healthy, socially positive, empowered ways to engage as productive and peaceful citizens?
In this episode of New Thinking for a New World, guest host Michael Niconchuk looks for answers. Mike, a Tällberg Foundation board member, serves on the Advisory Board of the Counter Extremism Project and is a program manager at the Wend Collective. His guests are Juncal Fernandez-Garayzabal, development and program manager at the Counter Extremism Project, and Noah Tucker, program associate at George Washington University's Elliott School of International Affairs Central Asia Program.
Can violent extremists once again become productive citizens? Can you imagine someone with that history living next door to you?
This episode was originally published on Oct 26, 2023
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