How Will The 2024 Election Play Out? - Nate Silver - #846

Modern Wisdom

10/03/24

•

70m

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Nate Silver is a statistician, writer of Silver Bulletin, and Founder of FiveThirtyEight.

No one truly knows who will win an election, but if anyone does, it's Nate. He is the man behind the most accurate, sophisticated polling data assessments in America and has an insight into modern culture like no one else.

Expect to learn why this election cycle differs from other ones, just how complex election prediction models are, what the most important topics of this election are, whether there is ever a chance for a 3rd party option to become president, the role of the media in determining who wins and much more...

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Timestamps:

(00:00) How Nate Mastered Sports Betting (04:01) Models Used to Predict Elections (08:03) The Way People Vote Today (11:02) Why Kamala Harris Isn’t Appearing on Podcasts (14:54) Do Debates Change People’s Minds? (17:22) The Impact of Running Mates (23:53) Have the Assassination Attempts Impacted the Election? (30:16) The States That Decide the Election (32:50) Likelihood of a Third-Party Candidate Being Elected (37:39) The Power of ‘the Village & the River’ (44:48) Nate’s Experiences With Sam Bankman-Fried (49:24) Why Crypto Investors Are More Likely to Be Scammed (56:29) Psychology of High Risk-Takers (01:01:54) The Price You Pay to Be Nate Silver (01:04:30) Nate’s Core Values (01:10:13) Where to Find Nate

Extra Stuff:

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Nate's Newsletter - Silver Bulletin: https://www.natesilver.net/

Episodes You Might Enjoy:

This Is How To Master Your Life - David Goggins - #577: ⁠⁠⁠lnkfi.re/SN-Goggins⁠⁠⁠

How To Destroy Your Negative Beliefs - Dr Jordan Peterson - #712: ⁠⁠⁠lnkfi.re/SN-Peterson⁠⁠⁠

The Secret Tools To Hack Your Brain - Dr Andrew Huberman - #700: ⁠⁠⁠lnkfi.re/SN-Huberman⁠⁠

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Previous Episode

Has America Completely Lost Its Mind? - Ben Shapiro - #845

September 30, 2024

•

127m

Ben Shapiro is a political commentator, Co-Founder of the Daily Wire, an author and a podcaster.

Election years are always chaotic, but this one feels particularly spicy. Why is the world at fever pitch and how much is actually going to stop after November?

Expect to learn if the 2024 election is going to be a typical one, why Ben hasn't had Donald Trump on his show, Ben's experience with childhood bullying and how it changed him, what Ben wished more men realised about masculinity, his thoughts on Elon Musk, how to deal with public criticism and much more...

Sponsors:

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Timestamps:

(00:00) Why This Election is Particularly Wild (04:38) Why Ben Hasn’t Had Trump on His Show (12:43) What if Trump Runs Again in 2028? (16:47) Can America Ever Be United? (19:33) Are Forces Conspiring Against Trump? (28:16) The Media’s Response to Assassination Attempts on Trump (41:50) Ben’s Experience in School (52:42) Advice to People Who Don’t Fit in (58:40) Being a Father & Public Figure (01:04:06) Sympathy for the Insecure Overachiever (01:10:57) How to Pick the Right Partner (01:22:28) What Ben Wishes More Men Knew (01:30:51) The Risk of Becoming a Caricature of Yourself (01:35:17) Does Ben Regret Doing a Daily Show? (01:39:48) Dealing With Intense Public Criticism (01:46:08) Why Scientific American Endorsed Kamala Harris (01:50:22) Keeping Your Sanity During the Election (01:55:05) Elon Musk’s Rise to Prominence (02:01:23) Have We Passed Peak Woke?

Extra Stuff:

Get my free reading list of 100 books to read before you die: https://chriswillx.com/books

Try my productivity energy drink Neutonic: https://neutonic.com/modernwisdom

Episodes You Might Enjoy:

This Is How To Master Your Life - David Goggins - #577: ⁠⁠⁠lnkfi.re/SN-Goggins⁠⁠⁠

How To Destroy Your Negative Beliefs - Dr Jordan Peterson - #712: ⁠⁠⁠lnkfi.re/SN-Peterson⁠⁠⁠

The Secret Tools To Hack Your Brain - Dr Andrew Huberman - #700: ⁠⁠⁠lnkfi.re/SN-Huberman⁠⁠

Get In Touch:

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chriswillx

Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/chriswillx

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/modernwisdompodcast

Email: https://chriswillx.com/contact

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Next Episode

The Unstoppable Power Of Reframing Your Experiences - Derek Sivers - #847

October 5, 2024

•

122m

Derek Sivers is an entrepreneur, author, and speaker.

Things are not what they are, things are what we think they are. The power of reframing and changing your perspective is a kind of alchemy, and today we get to hear some of Derek's best principles for altering the way you see everything.

Expect to learn how you can reframe your perspective for the better, what the term ‘Useful Not True’ means, why your thoughts cannot be trusted, why people don’t bond over facts but rather perspectives, how to not become discouraged if you are thrown off course, how to make better decisions and much more...

Sponsors:

See discounts for all the products I use and recommend: https://chriswillx.com/deals

Get a 20% discount on the best supplements from Momentous at https://livemomentous.com/modernwisdom (automatically applied at checkout)

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Timestamps:

(00:00) Useful But Not True (06:41) Why is Reframing Important? (13:08) Derek’s Car Accident (23:11) We Bond Over Our Perspectives (28:29) Is it Right to Sometimes Break the Rules? (36:35) Your Own Thoughts Are Untrue (47:28) Evaluating Beliefs Fuelled By Emotion (55:39) Judge the Content & Not the Box (01:06:05) The Value of Diverse Worldviews (01:17:30) How to Better Reframe Your Experiences (01:32:22) Are These Tools Universally Useful? (01:41:46) Our Desire to Be Perfect Immediately (01:48:25) You Are What You Pretend to Be (02:01:37) Where to Find Derek

Extra Stuff:

Get my free reading list of 100 books to read before you die: https://chriswillx.com/books

Try my productivity energy drink Neutonic: https://neutonic.com/modernwisdom

Episodes You Might Enjoy:

This Is How To Master Your Life - David Goggins - #577: ⁠⁠⁠lnkfi.re/SN-Goggins⁠⁠⁠

How To Destroy Your Negative Beliefs - Dr Jordan Peterson - #712: ⁠⁠⁠lnkfi.re/SN-Peterson⁠⁠⁠

The Secret Tools To Hack Your Brain - Dr Andrew Huberman - #700: ⁠⁠⁠lnkfi.re/SN-Huberman⁠⁠

Get In Touch:

Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chriswillx

Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/chriswillx

YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/modernwisdompodcast

Email: https://chriswillx.com/contact